The fall of Canon and Nikon. The raise of Sony (Bloomberg).

The latest article at Bloomberg (Click here) about tha japanese digital camera market shares describes an ongoing and somewhat unexpected revolution. According to Bloomberg: “the world’s two biggest makers of high-end cameras (Cnaon and Nikon), may be missing out on the industry’s biggest technology shift since film rolls became obsolete. The two Tokyo-based companies use mirrors in all cameras with interchangeable lenses, a technique Sony Corp. is shifting away from. As a result, Canon and Nikon’s combined share of the Japanese market has fallen by 35 percent, while Sony’s share has doubled, according to estimates at research firm BCN Inc.”
Ryosuke Katsura (Mizuho Securities Equity Research analyst) wrote last year that the mirrorless technology: “may be the biggest “paradigm shift” in the SLR industry in six decades”
In general those are the interesting news for Sony (and generally about camers):
- Sony’s share in the worldwide SLR market rised to about 15 percent in the year ended March 31 from 10 percent a year earlier.
- Mirrorless cameras accounted for 40.5 percent of SLR sales in July (in Japan), surging from 5 percent in early 2009, according to BCN.
- Globally, sales of mirrorless cameras surged fivefold to 2.1 million units in 2010, and their share of the overall SLR market may climb to 23 percent in 2011 from 16 percent, according to Macquarie Group Ltd. estimates last month.
My take on that: It is interesting to see that Sony is pushing the A77 with a lot of Marketing, but the most preordered cameras in USA are the NEX-7 and NEX-5n. Those are the only cameras that are constantly in the top 20 of the Amazon sales (Click here to see the rankings). I know from talks with my sources that Sony didn’t expect such a huge success for their NEX system. And I cannot imagine how much money they would make now if they would be fast enough to make decent NEX lenses! Hurry up Sony, we need pancakes, more Zeiss lenses, fast lenses and some video optimized lens! I am sure Canon will soon announce a strong mirrorless system and Sony have to be aware of that. At the moment things look good for Sony, but it’s time to “believe” in the NEX system and put a lot of effort into products development!
P.S.: If you ask me, Nikon’s mirrorless system will not be a serious NEX competitor (it uses a to small 2,7x crop sensor).
NEX Preorders (Click on the shop name and you will be directly land on the product page!):
NEX-5n:
Sonystore US, Amazon US, Adorama, Sonystore Canada, SonyStore DE, SonyStore FR, SonyStore IT, Amazon DE, Amazon UK, Digitalrev and eBay.
NEX-7 body only:
Sonystore US, Amazon US, Adorama, Sonystore Canada and in Europe at Jessops and Computeruniverse.
NEX-7 with 18-55mm kit lens:
Sonystore US, Amazon US, Adorama, Sonystore Canada and in Europe at Jessops.
Zeiss 24mm f/1.8:
Sonystore US, Amazon US, Adorama, Sonystore Canada.
50mm f/1.8:
Sonystore US, Adorama.

Twaddler Belafonte
9 months ago |Still waiting for Sony to bring out a Nikon d300, d700, d3s, d3x, competitor.
I don’t see Nikon nor Canon falling anytime as far as professional, semi-pro, and enthusiast markets are concerned. Sony still lacks.
GH
9 months ago |The A850/900 were certainly competitive with some of those cameras. In fact, I’d still choose the A900 over any of those cameras, regardless of price.
LasPos
9 months ago |I think “professional” was something to be awed 5 – 10 years ago. In my opinion the gap between Professional and Amateur is slowly disappearing, as more and more Amateurs get their hands on cameras like Nex and Alpha, the quality of photography has increased exponentially, personally, I once (only once) won a Travel Photography competition many years ago, pitted against some heavy duty camera equipment, using a Kodak Instamatic. It’s not always the camera, but the photographer releasing the shutter. I would never ever consider myself a Professional, just a long time photographer messing around with something he loves.
c.d.embrey
9 months ago |What makes a camera a Professional Camera, is the ability to rent that camera/lenses anywhere in the world.
I can switch from my Canon DSLRs easily because I only use a 24mm, 85mm and a 90mm TS-E. So two NEX 9 bodies, a Zeiss 24, a Nikon or Zeiss 85mm with an E-mount adapter. Plus renting a Nikon 85mm PC-E when I need it. Most pros use a lot more lenses than I do. Getting them to switch without rental back-up will be hard.
patty
9 months ago |a full frame NEX9 would decapitate canikon.
acolyte
9 months ago |Remember though, the pro market was a big portion of the SLR market decades ago. Times have changed and entry-level and enthusiasts market is growing. Therefore the demand has shifted, and semi-pro/pros got pushed to the back seat.
Money talks :\
CRB
9 months ago |Its funny that the Nexs are the most preordered…since the alpha lenses are much better than the E ones…most of them are not good at all. People want smaller but good IQ and sony still lacks high quality lenses for mirrorless…
Sky_walker
9 months ago |It doesn’t have anything to deal with A-mount. Compare sales of Cybershots with Alphas – compacts have huge advantage over DSLRs even despite of obvious quality differences.
Both systems have different users, and many EOS/F-mount users buy NEXes while obviously they aren’t interested in real mount. Just as ex-compact camera users buy NEX while they aren’t interested in their “big brothers”.
Mirrorless cameras are different kind of stuff and Sony surely is only happy from that – especially when they read reports like that
acolyte
9 months ago |I for one never bought into the mirrorless market for the same reason as CRB. But apparently I’m not the majority, looking at sales figures. So I can’t speak.
CRB
9 months ago |Yes , we are not acolyte…
CRB
9 months ago |i agree, but its not nice for photographers who need quality in a small package…but then again, the vast majority of those who buy cameras, are not photographers..lol
Arthur
9 months ago |Well said.
GH
9 months ago |The new 24, 30 and 50 nex lenses look very good.
CRB
9 months ago |The 50 seems better than the 1000usd 24mm..so far…
c.d.embrey
9 months ago |The nice thing about the E-mount is that almost anything can be adapted. And with peaking, manual focus becomes easy.
Robin Edgar
9 months ago |Exactly.
That is why I am very likely to end up buying a NEX-5n.
I *had* been waiting for the A77 but I have a feeling that the NEX-5n will be a better overall choice for me. I am disappointed in the apparent RAW file quality loss due to fixed mirror in the SLTs.
Tofa
9 months ago |just a side note, do you use heavy peaking or mid peaking?
EiTaro
9 months ago |Me too Robin. I was going for A77, but I’ll end up with 5n!
CRB
9 months ago |Yes, but how easy and fast is to shoot movung subjects or street photography?
Zstan
9 months ago |If you are damn familiar with peaking it should be quite fast and accurate.
However the limitations of peaking will be shown when shooting with super bright lens.
CRB
9 months ago |Thanks, can you explain why? thanks again…
zstan
9 months ago |Erm..explain what?
If you are very familiar with manual focus and peaking, you should be able to judge the distance between you and your subject very well, and with the aid of peaking, focusing should be fast, but of course not lightning fast, and yes, it’s undeniable you will miss a few (maybe important shots)..
shooting with super bright lenses is hard because peaking only shows the area in focus. with super thin depth of field, along with fast action, everything moves quite fast and technically harder to nail a sharp shot.
my 2 cents.
Sky_walker
9 months ago |Mirrorless: Compacts of 21st century?
Hellven
9 months ago |no, the substitute of current SLR’s, when in sensor PDAF arrives (Sony as already patented some tehcnology in this area) the unique advantage of SLR ends. SLR’s are dinossaurs, and SLT’s are just a transition technology until mirroless system is mature enough
Sky_walker
9 months ago |There are no mirrorless cameras to be a substitute of SLRs. All are just compacts with big sensors. Even NEX7 which is basically a G12 competitor (even if it smashes G12 into dust). PDAF on sensor besides implementation in some compact camera doesn’t exist at all. What you talk about is a dream of future. Currently ILCs are just modern compacts.
c.d.embrey
9 months ago |Depends on what you shoot. Jurgen Teller, a top fashion photographer, uses Contax G2 film cameras (last made in 1993). For the kind of advertising I shoot a NEX 7 will work well.
If you shoot, BIF or Team Sports a DSLR will be better.
Sky_walker
9 months ago |Well, my clients would laugh me to death if I’d come out with a camera of NEX5 size.
Maybe an approach of photographers can be changed easily, but models? Not at all.
Robin Edgar
9 months ago |The compacts of the 20th century were mirrorless.
Can you say “rangefinder”?
acolyte
9 months ago |While googling about those, have you heard about Leica coming up with a mirrorless? Didn’t realize there’s a rumor out there till I searched.
Carl
9 months ago |Leica gets asked for one all the time. More than anything, it’s a reflection that the M9 is too damn expensive.
Clyde
9 months ago |Leica already is mirrorless.
acolyte
9 months ago |Ahaha I guess that’s true.
http://www.43rumors.com/can-i-ask-you-something-can-we-consider-the-leica-m9-a-mirrorless-camera/
Sky_walker
9 months ago |Technically – it is. But in current meaning of this word – not really. If you’ll say “mirrorless camera” noone will come out with rangefinder. First meaning of this word are systems like NEX or m4/3. EVIL or just ILCompact camera.
nycebo
9 months ago |@CRB, I must disagree. It’s generally accepted in Sony Forums and Reviews that the SEL1855 for the NEX cameras is better than the SAL1855 for the A55 (a reasonable comp). Even Zeiss is coming out with their 24mm lens end year that is supposed to be pretty fantastic. As the NEX line is just about a year old, give Sony some credit for having 7 lenses by end year.
CRB
9 months ago |Maybe the 1855 is good, but its not enough for a system…the 16mm seems to be really bad..now we have the 24mm coming…huge size and very good performance…not great…at 1000usd…please take a look at the samples…sony is awesome for technology and innovation, they need to get better at other things, as the lenses.
Hard2Xplain
9 months ago |AFAIK, in my country, canikon never loose their ground.
Mirrorless just open new segment – masses.
No doubt they could sell well. How many people had smartphone before Iphone era?
Raul S.
9 months ago |In my country (Panama in Central America) people thinks that performance can be delivered only by Canon or Nikon. Until you show people your results with a Sony, they’ll still believe Canon and Nikon are the only options in the market.
I hate when people who considers themselves photographers says that Sony is sh*t. They never tried another brand, but also because they never see a pro using Sony equipment, they’ll never ask themselves, why a pro is using Sony equipment if it’s supposed to be Canon or Nikon, the best options for professional jobs. Sony needs to attract more professionals. People sees a professional using a certain brand, they’ll buy a related equipment from that brand for sure.
Sad but true.
acolyte
9 months ago |+1
Mist
9 months ago |+2
Same case here in Malaysia.
zohair
9 months ago |+3 in egypt
acolyte
9 months ago |*2004*
*sits in an airplane*
‘Sir, please turn off your phone’
‘It’s in flight mode’
‘I don’t understand what you are saying. Please turn off your phone’
‘I can’t! It’s in flight mode though!’
‘PLEASE TURN OFF YOUR PHONE’
*takes off battery to shut the lady up and turns it back on few minutes later*
This was Sony Ericsson P800. If I remember there was no off button.
Pascal645
9 months ago |The pro sector is not where these companies make money. Selling to consumers in high number is the objective.
It’s hardly surprising to see Nikon fall (can’t talk about Canon): their model range is based on limiting features. At the top is the D3x/D3s that no one in the lucrative sector can afford or is willing to lug around all day. Then you have D700 with slightly less performance. Degrade a bit and you have the D300s and so on. I know, it’s a little more elaborate than this FF vs APS, but you get my drift. There are plenty of features that could be found in the lower models but are taken out to create the range. But they are basically all the same camera.
Sony’s product management is based on user types. Take the recent annoucements. The A77 appeals to the high tech brigade (sports, fashion …). Ultra fast, ultra high resolution … The NEX-7 appeals to street shooters, landscape photographers/hikers (that would be me), even birders (use a long lens and you can leave you bins at home …) and everyone with legacy glass from Leica, Zeiss, Zuiko, Takuma, Lomo … It’s a very different type of reasoning and it’s by far the best approach. It’s probably more dangerous though.
I thank them for innovating and wish them well !
acolyte
9 months ago |+1
And even if I keep posting like what you said, people are blinded in a shroud of ignorance.
Mist
9 months ago |+2
At least, we know, and we appreciate what sony has done.
Maxwell
9 months ago |Admin, I had problems with this website the whole day. Internet Explorer 8 hangs and after some time ask me if I want a script to continue run or stop. It does not help whatever I answer, and I have to kill the app. Maybe fixed now?
Ok. Just good if Canon and Nikon also joins the mirorless camera market. We then maybe faster also will get full frame mirorless cameras. I just hope Sony will be the first! (Leica, is way to expensive so no option for me). Sony release a FF NEX under 2000$ ASAP! Just add some good small primes and you will have a winner! Include a EVF, something like the NEX7 but FF and 24MP is enough, most people don’t need more pixels. Or if Sony could use pixel binning or something, so we could choose between e.g 6MP and 24MP RAW files resolution with the same sensor. I would bought it yesterday!
NEXfive
9 months ago |Well, when it comes to glass quality Sony’s absolutely unable even to reach Canon or Nikon, but most consumers don’t really need that, of course.
GH
9 months ago |Huh? The Sony G and Sony/Zeiss lenses are certainly comparable to Canon’s high end lens line.
NEXfive
9 months ago |Canon and Nikon are selling each a massive range of lenses with constantly high quality. Both of them could fill the Sony picture above simply with full frame lenses without adding cameras, lenses for smaller sensors or converters:
http://rebelt2i.files.wordpress.com/2010/05/2008-canon-ef-lens-collection.jpg
As much as I love my Sony camera, one has to be realistic about the lenses being Sony’s limitation – especially concerning E-Mount, of course…
GH
9 months ago |You said quality, not quantity. Most professionals I know don’t shoot more than 3-4 lenses, so quantity is only important to some.
NEXfive
9 months ago |Yes, I sad quality, since the freedom of choice from a large range of lenses all on a high quality level is definitely much more than having only a few outstanding ones to go for. Sony can’t mess with Canon’s or Nikon’s lens collection at all, not concerning constant quality. And if you’re taking this simple fact personally there’s something wrong with your photography attitude, mate.
acolyte
9 months ago |Trolls will get their way.
Those who sell the present fall short these days.
It is those who sell the future who will soar.
And if they get too proud until the present catches up to their ‘future’, they’ll fall as well.
Let’s hope it doesn’t happen to Sony.
It happens to Canikon already.
Take off those blindfolds, people.
GH
9 months ago |I’m not taking this personally. As I said, you mentioned quality, not quantity, in your post. Any professional photographer knows his/her lens needs, and many types of photographers are well suited by Sony’s lens line. It’s really only the t/s lenses and uber expensive, fast teles where Sony has the major disadvantage. If you’re a studio shooter, wedding shooter, fine art shooter, etc. there are more than enough Sony lenses available already.
Mist
9 months ago |I totally agree with GH.
Sony just lacks of TS and tele primes.
Canon and Nikon just have repeating focal length lenses with different prices.
For optical quality, Sony is not totally bad, its Easy-Choice, Zeiss, SAL70300G and SAL70400G are good. Canon and Nikon have some bad quality lenses also.
NEXfive
9 months ago |“Canon and Nikon just have repeating focal length lenses with different prices” does mean the freedom of choice between very fast and therefore very bulky lenses on the other side down to more handy ones with much lower weight, that also cost less, but do offer a similar quality standard. And while f/1.2 is awesome at low light, but always hell to focus and to carry around, the most expensive lens isn’t always the best choice for your individual needs. Sony does not offer that massive choice like Canon or Nikon, but most consumers don’t really need that has been my introducing statement before the flame war began and of course, I’m still right with that being the reason for Canon and Nikon selling less cameras…
NEXseven
9 months ago |“when it comes to glass quality Sony’s absolutely unable even to reach Canon or Nikon”
OMFG!!! WHAT PLANET DO YOU COME FROM?!?!?! Canikon????
I own a Carl Zeiss Vario-Sonnar T* 24-70 F2.8 ZA SSM SAL-2470Z…
This thing shoots LAZOR beams!!! Yes it would $hit on the majority of its counterparts.
I also own a Sony AF 70-400 F4-5.6 G SSM SAL-70400G….
This Sony lens belongs to the G (“Gold”) lineup – Sony’s designated professional-grade lenses… no more needed to be said…
“when it comes to glass quality Sony’s absolutely unable even to reach Canon or Nikon”
Do your reviews, buy the lens, try the lens, get informed before speaking from Uranus.
TypeZeiss
9 months ago |You can’t be serious. I suggest you research the zeiss lenses for the alpha line and compare them to their nikon and canon counter parts.
SonyA77
9 months ago |NEXfive, with respect, you haven’t a clue about quality Minolta/Sony lenses and how they beat the crap out of their canikon equivalent.
NEXfive
9 months ago |Well, formerly having made experiences with stupid Apple Fanboys I can laugh about those here misusing their photography equipment for a brand addicted identity instead of simply using it for taking good pictures (or making movies). Unfortunately some people are into nothing else but that. But already with my NEX-5 and my two Sony E-Mount lenses plus seven old Canon FD ones I can see huge quality lacks Canon would have never sold me at all. There are better lenses from Sony as currently available E-Mount, I know, and I would never ever say Sony alpha is unacceptable for professionals, because it isn’t at all, but this sort of messing here is simply ridiculous and totally unnecessary.
NEXseven
9 months ago |Ok, so you started with
“when it comes to glass quality Sony’s absolutely unable even to reach Canon or Nikon”
You then started to rant about quantity of quality…
Now you are complaining about Apple Fanboys-ism…
Look mate, every successful company have to start off from somewhere…
Sony has consistently shown that their imaging department is here to stay and that they will continue to innovate. Sony is bringing out new lenses every year.
I support Sony imaging because they are making quality digital photography affordable to the average Joe. Their innovation is also making photography more convenient. Things like lens correction in camera… absolutely brillant! Eliminates one step in my workflow pipeline.
People here are excited about the products as they are allowed to be. Don’t go disrespecting the forum and labeling everyone as Apple Fanboys.
You started off with a general comment about “when it comes to glass quality Sony’s absolutely unable even to reach Canon or Nikon”… You ended up ranting about your Nex-5 and its lack of quality E-Mount Lenses… You have no credibility left mate….
NEXfive
9 months ago |I’ve been an Apple user for 16 years until I gave up on that company, that has been the open-minded system before used by the really creative people, but now the most creative stuff Apple users are doing are unboxing videos with new Apple products, yawn.
Fortunately with E-Mount Sony gave me the freedom of choice to attach to my camera whatever I like. I could have had that also with μ4/3, but I don’t want bulky viewfinder cameras any more and APS-C also has the better crop factor plus there could be also a full frame E-Mount camera in the future. I’m very thankful Sony brought the E-Mount system for photography and video finally growing together. No other company did that convincingly. But so far there’s more often vintage Canon glass attached to my Sony camera than original Sony – yes, especially for quality reasons. Nevertheless I’m curious about future lenses and firmware improvements for recent ones – that’s why I’m here and possibly into buying the SEL-50F18 or the announced G series standard zoom next year – so better don’t cause totally unnecessary disgust with fanboism…
Carl
9 months ago |Damn, we all better throw our Zeiss and Minolta lenses in the trash, and get some quality ones. Thanks for the heads up!
Steve
9 months ago |+1
NEXfive
9 months ago |…if you’re both unable to acknowledge quality beyond label and price you might probably both do so, yes. Sorry, for having overestimated you
NEXfiveN
9 months ago |Couldn’t this be turned right back at you for equally stating that Canon and Nikon (label) have constant quality when they don’t… You obviously can’t see Canon and Nikon Lenses past its label and expensive price tags.
“Sony can’t mess with Canon’s or Nikon’s lens collection at all, not concerning constant quality”
For an example:
Nikon 28-300mm VR, great versatile lens but it suffered from severe distortions. They replaced it with another lens, this time nearly fixing the distortion (still suffers from quite a bit) and including a VR II stabilizer.
you call yourself a photographer or a fanboy?
NEXfive
9 months ago |No, it can’t be turned right back to me. I’d photographed with Canon since the 80′s, now I’m a Sony user and the Leica R4 I owned in the 90′s I didn’t like to use, because it was too bulky and I would have become a part to a snotty group I totally disliked, so I did not use this camera much, only if I needed a second one. I don’t care about the brand. I’m simply choosing the suitable equipment for my artwork. Some guys are into company wars and love to mob like you’re doing here. I don’t care, but I doubt you’re making good pictures with this stupid intention.
Sony can’t compare with the lens range of Canon or Nikon, not in quantity anyway, but also not in constant quality for the complete range and this does not say, you can’t get lenses with equal and maybe sometimes even better quality from Sony. But you don’t have that massive choice all on a high quality level. That’s a simple fact.
I’m having a Sony SEL-16F28 here in front of me. Not really a bad lens if used as SEL-16F56, but at f/2.8 it’s something Canon or Nikon would never sell their customers. already proofed here by the cheapest of my old Canon lenses I attached to my NEX-5, a FD 75-200 zoom, that had cost half the price then of the Sony SEL-16F28 today. Vintage glass sometimes really impresses attached to a digital camera.
So you’re talking about distortion, which isn’t really a quality issue any more. Olympus these days sells an expensive new 12mm for μ4/3 with lots of distortion, but that’s fixed inside the camera. If your name here isn’t just meant as provocation against me, you own a NEX-5N that’s having this sort of lens compensation for the SEL-16F28 now. That’s an interesting feature I’m curious about (also if available soon via firmware update for NEX-5/3) and I quite often tried to get information here when writing comments. If you would be really into photography, you would discuss topics like that, but unfortunately you’re not.
NEXfiveN
9 months ago |“Sony can’t compare with the lens range of Canon or Nikon, not in quantity anyway, but also not in constant quality for the complete range and this does not say, you can’t get lenses with equal and maybe sometimes even better quality from Sony.”
Sony is introducing more lenses early next year, they are also hoping to release a total of 7 lenses for your e-mount camera by the end of the year.
Sorry to hear about your Pancake lens not working to your expectations. Perhaps you should have just bought the body with adapters. It’s a golden rule to look at proper reviews before investing into expensive glass.
“I quite often tried to get information here when writing comments. If you would be really into photography, you would discuss topics like that, but unfortunately you’re not.”
With comments like “when it comes to glass quality Sony’s absolutely unable even to reach Canon or Nikon” don’t expect to get any useful information.
All up, I use a A55 waiting for the A77 to be release October 14th YAY!
The kit lens is rubbish, except for the 70-200mm lens, which was surprising good. The bottom line, every Lens company has good and bad lens, don’t go making general statements initially based on one bad experience.
NEXfive
9 months ago |Mate, you’re aggressively creating misunderstandings to pull your ego – totally dislike your snotty attitude
Canon and Nikon are both offering a massive range of lenses all on a high quality level, but not everybody needs this massive choice, so they’re losing market share to those offering other camera solutions, while not investing that much into their lens ranges. Therefore Sony made a big point on the interchangeable lens camera market with E-Mount against old-fashioned DSLR. That’s been my argumentation here from the beginning, still is and so far you never argued to the topic itself, but started your fanboy company war I’m still refusing to join.
BTW my SEL-16F28 totally works as expected, since so far there are no real alternatives for Wide and Super Wide Angle with NEX than this lens with VCL-ECU1 converter. The quality is not totally bad, but comparatively low, of course, and hopefully will get improved by Sony with Firmware 05 for NEX-5/3 including the lens compensation feature introduced with NEX-5N…
Raul S.
9 months ago |When Sony releases more professional-aimed equipment, THEEEEEN we can say Sony will be a serious competition. All my equipment is from Sony, but since I don’t see Weather sealed Telephoto lenses, nor constant f/4 aperture version of their f/2.8 Telephoto/prime/zoom lenses (cheaper but still delivering excellent performance), screw driven AF lenses being upgraded with SSM and a release of Tilt shift lenses, Sony is still in a building-reputation-among-professionals stage. You’ll see pro using Canon and Nikon equipment on soccer games for a while, and because of that, people will keep telling each other that pro are using Canon or Nikon for a reason. So that’s why Sony needs to get better reputation among professionals and journalists first. Professionals using equipment on public and private events are the best advertisement for selling more equipment.
Don Cox
9 months ago |There are many kinds of professional photography besides sports, news and royals.
Examples are medical photography, forensics, product and catalogue photography, work in the big auction houses, museum photography. Many of these fields are well suited to a flexible and practical camera such as the NEX-7 promises to be.
c.d.embrey
9 months ago |That’s right!!! I’ve been doing this since the 1970s and I’ve NEVER shot a Wedding, Portrait, Landscape, Architectural or Team Sport photo. My work has strictly been editorial and advertising. I don’t need ultra wides, zooms and long telephoto lenses.
Sony Zeiss line up is more than I need.
J
9 months ago |We’re getting our first sealed tele and F4 zooms are not considered pro. That said, it is a fallacy to say that Sony needs pro designated stuff. Professional use of computers is not what has spurred the computer industry. Gamers can be thanked for that. We may see an era where technology in cameras moves up from consumer based to pro (especially when you consider how many call themselves pro and are stuck in a decades old mentality.)
SonyA77
9 months ago |+1
David Bateman
9 months ago |If sony wants to really steal the market they should also release a NEX7a with the 24Mpixel chip swapped out with the magical 16 Mpixel chip found in the NEX5N. That would hurt NEX5N sales, but charging more than the NEX5N and maybe $50 less than the NEX7 would allow for huge profits.
The lines are there it should be easily and whats holding me off from the NEX7 is the High ISO noise shows that 24MPixels is too much.
calxn
9 months ago |I agree Canon is the threat. m43 is an annoyance, but it won’t affect Sony’s trajectory in mirrorless. Nikon probably won’t show anything interesting. Canon seems to have a knack with designing the right features that the market wants. They are the most credible threat.
I wish they didn’t release the a77 and instead added a gps to the nex-7. I guess the small group of vocal a700 owners convinced them to make the mistake of investing in the a77. I would have rather they put that investment in producing the FF nex-9.
David
9 months ago |Nope. The a77 is a GOOD thing for Sony to invest in. That area of the market sells like crazy. The 7D and D7000 are incredibly popular.
acolyte
9 months ago |The a77 has to come sooner or later though. While a700 is great, it doesn’t have enough bells and whistles. As much as we only care about the quality of our photos, we do want some bells and whistles too :\
NEXseven
9 months ago |I AM SO BUYING THE A77.
Hats off to Sony!
Sky_walker
9 months ago |There won’t be any full frame NEX. Period. Perhaps mirrorless a-mount camera will popup one day – that’s more likely, but don’t count on FF NEX which cannot physically exist, not with that bayonet.
Booe
9 months ago |You are very wrong that E-mount cannot support 36×24 mm frame.
See A-mount (which probably you won’t deny can accomodate FF) and E-mount in same scale: http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-eC7DgvA7hZs/TfFZpR_ujWI/AAAAAAAABz8/SkR_dQyw270/s1600/nex-C3_e_mount.jpg
Sky_walker
9 months ago |Yep, here it looks fine, but if you actually put a FF sensor inside of the camera than it comes out like this: – bayonet elements of the lens would cast shadows in edges of sensor. Not even saying about the fact that E-bayonet lenses cover only APS-C.
Jiri
9 months ago |Well, I am affraid you would have to draw a section through the lens and camera just to take in account the way the light beams travel and the distance between the lens and the sensor. The back opening of any lens never fills the entire diameter of the mount. So, I believe, there is always an angle left for the light beams to reach the corner of the full frame sensor even in the E-mount. The problem could be with A-mount lenses and the adaptor.
Sky_walker
9 months ago |More likely possibility is using an almost-full-frame sensor. Kinda like… Pentax 645 is almost-medium-format. You could fit in a sensor that’s just below real Full Frame size, yet bigger than APS-H (though I guess many people would welcome APS-H as well).
Besides that it’s quite complicated – some lenses have light beams coming out of very small rear lens what would essentially solve issues with shadow-casting though might cause extreme vignetting and picture quality loss (digital sensors don’t like when light falls on sensor under weird angles – Sony already had this problem with 24mm Zeiss which is why the lens isn’t pancake, and the NEX7 sensor have different microlenses than it’s usually used). Some lenses though have very big rear elements requiring clear path for light to fall on sensor under 90deg.
Besides that, as with the Zeiss – there might be a lot of issues with getting a real pancakes for FF NEX – Sony already had them with APS-C sensor, so going Full Frame would only multiply them. I don’t say that FF pancake is impossible, but neither Sony nor Zeiss have any experience in that. (I always said that Sony needed to buy Pentax just to get their lens design experts into company and create really good pancakes)
Booe
9 months ago |Is true that bayonet might cause problems in certain sutiations. But in most cases it would be completely irrelevant (read about chief rays concept in optics). Problems may be only with large aperture lenses (faster than f/1.8). But these lens vignette heavily by themselves. So these rays you’re worrying about are already terminated in the lens and never go throught bayonet.
Note that Nikon F bayonet is even more restrictive than NEX’s. Yet Nikon users don’t complain.
I agree with you on point Sony should have bought Pentax, though
Jack
9 months ago |I do admire Sony and all their innovation but let’s not get too carried away here. As we all know, Panasonic was the first company to enter the ILC market with a very well engineered G1. The rest after that, while they did well in the IQ department, did not do very well in AF and the lens selection department.
Here are why I think C/N did not venture into this market yet.
Firstly, this is a highly experimental market. Just look at all the drastic design changes that the early product had to go through within these 3 years. The manufacturers are still fiddling with the designs – should there be a viewfinder? should it be electronic? a flash hot shoe? built-in flash? how small should it be? hand grip? collapsible lenses? how small? what kind of sensor works best? I believe C/N are watching for the best combination and design before they launch their first models. They have a healthy profit and healthy market share from their dSLR till now. They can still watch and see.
Secondly, unlike dSLR, in the ILC market first mover advantage may not count as much. Most buyers of ILC only use their kit lenses, as a package, like the point and shoot camera. So there is little lock-in in terms of lens ownership, flash and etc. I know, some pros buy ILCs and they use their accessories on them, but in general, PnS upgraders form most of the ILC crowd. So if the ILC owners want to change camera, they just trade in their camera body and kit lens for a new set… There are no expensive lenses to lock them in. Although with the introduction of premium lenses, this may begin to change… but hey, there is still only one Leica lens for m43 and one Zeiss for NEX. Besides, first mover advantage is overrated, Canon’s early entry into the digital market only gave Canon a short period of dominance over Nikon.
Thirdly, introducing a new ILC system camera would hurt the traditional dSLR market.It is like admitting all these talks about ILC killing dSLR. So if C/N were to do it, they want to make sure the trend are real. If you go talk to a C/N executive, I am they will still tell you their sales of dSLRs remain strong and their financial results remain good for now… Now you can’t say they are lying because Canon and Nikon are still making good money till last quarter. Need more proof, read the line about the A77 and NEX 7 again.
But if C/N did introduce an ILC, the competition would be good for consumers. There is still plenty of room for ILCs to improve and I am still waiting for Sony’s answer to the Panasonic X series lenses. There is no point making the camera body so small really, if your lens sticks out like a bull in heat… And I still don’t understand why despite all the great things they have added to the NEX-5N, why didn’t they JUST GIVE ME THE AE-LOCK BUTTON!! And despite having a really exceptional 16mpx sensor, why did you stick that super noisy 25mpx into the very well designed NEX7 ??!! Yes, I have seen the RAW output, it is very very noisy and I don’t need that extra large noisy files so you can sell more memory cards to me, Sony.
Spoon
9 months ago |The ILC market as a whole is still growing, that’s why CaNikon can still present numbers of growth in absolute sales. Their combined market share is shrinking though, so as soon as the market as a whole is starting to stagnate, they could be in trouble. Ofcourse, they can enter the mirrorless market too, but don’t forget that the ones currently active there, not only have the advantage (like CaNikon did in the traditional DSLR world) in R&D and time. Sony certainly also has an advantages in its resources (chips, processors, EVF’s, LCD’s, etc., some components on which some of the others actually depend) and is top player in the pro video market too, which is important now that the convergience between stills and video has become fact.
Last but not least, the strongest growth for any of these camera makets comes from newcomers, not from those tied into systems. In other words, brand loyalty or even recognition for the two big ones can fade fast. I’m not saying it will, too many factors at play. But Sony has high cards, the question is whether they will be able to capitalize on them.
acolyte
9 months ago |Good critical analysis. Let’s see where this goes.
David
9 months ago |You’ve seen raw files?? Cool!! What raw software did you use?? I tried updating my ACR and Lightroom, but the NEX-7 doesn’t seem to be supported. Maybe it’s not available in my country??
Or maybe you’re just being ignorant and jumping to conclusions based on what you think you know about sensor design based on what you read on the internet? More pixels doesn’t mean more noise, genius.
acolyte
9 months ago |Mind that he doesn’t mention more pixels is more noise, but the sensor itself is the noise cause.
Leo
9 months ago |you can customized the right botton for AE lock…
john
9 months ago |The folks on NikonRumors are not too happy.
http://nikonrumors.com/2011/09/07/nikon-loosing-market-share-in-japan.aspx/
Adam
9 months ago |Unless you own shares in these companies, then why would you people care?
There use to be room for several major players in this field (with Minolta and Pentax, etc….) and recently it has just been Canon and Nikon that were the big players (slr’s) … now Sony is entering the ring very very strong … that’s great because we all win!
J
9 months ago |I’m sure there is a psychological answer that we want to validate our decisions yada yada, but as I see it we only care for our lens mount to live on with bodies (and sensors) that improve at least on par with the rest of the industry. Lenses are where the heaviest investment is and we don’t want to face a world that multiple $1k dollar purchases can become paperweights some day.
acolyte
9 months ago |And that psychological answer is pride
And that applies to anything – not just cameras.
Even my car – Acura ZDX – is worthless to a lot of people and looks fugly to them. I like it, but now and then it makes me wonder.
Barbarous Waytel
9 months ago |the raise of Sony? Or should it be the rise of Sony?
patty
9 months ago |the? should be “The”
Sky_walker
9 months ago |it should be: THE RAISE OF SONY!
Donald
9 months ago |” Mirrorless cameras accounted for 40.5 percent of SLR sales in July (in Japan)”
Now there’s a contradicting statement – SLR single lens reflex cameras are by definition never mirrorless.
acolyte
9 months ago |Media do what they say..
) half of the first page’s google result doesn’t.
You can’t fix them..
google ‘SLR mirrorless’
Even though there are many who uses the correct term (wiki = MILC
Fail is fail, but who are we to say?
SonyA77
9 months ago |This is a business analysis piece written by somebody who doesn’t care or understand the technicalities. We get what they mean, it’s no big deal.
Booe
9 months ago |>Now there’s a contradicting statement – SLR single lens reflex cameras are by definition never mirrorless.
Blame this condradiction on who divided cameras into small puny “point-and-shoots” and serious SLRs (note that SLRs are pretty much P&S too, as they have AF & AE).
Dasher
9 months ago |Admin… please use a spellchecker, the number of errrrurs iz becuming anooing tu reed.
Keep up the good work!!!
SonyA77
9 months ago |English is not his first language.
Wheelus
9 months ago |I find it fascinating that everyone is looking for the one camera that does everything, and it does everything better than any other camera. That will probably never happen. The photographer that wants to be prepared for everything should have a NEX to do street photography, an A900 to do studio work and have the advantages of an optical viewfinder, and an A77 to take advantage of the electronic viewfinder, 12 fps, etc. Of course you can do the same thng with Nikon and Canon, take three bodies that each do certain things better than the other two bodies do, and use whichever body works for that situation. If your 16MP whatever does a better job doing JPEGs at ISO 100,000 at a Lady Gaga concert, then use it. When it’s time to shoot in the studio for that shot that will be on a billboard, pull out your 32MP and use that body. I don’t think that there is a law anywhere that says that you can own only one body. I will keep my Alpha 550 after I buy my A77 and will take advantage of its optical viewfinder if I can’t use my EFV for some reason. So again, quit looking for one body that does everything, it will only drive you crazy.
Nawaf
9 months ago |I’m with you 100%. Why even buy just one make? Go with two if you want, whatever is best for you.
SLR & SLT won’t die anytime soon, it’s just that the mirrorless cameras are getting real good sensors and the amateur photographers are finding it more convenient to get these instead of a SLR which is way bigger. Canon should have introduced a new sensor for the 600D instead of the old 7D one. Maybe then when performance would out-way it’s inconvenience would people actually get back to getting a SLR.
Might be too late though with the introduction of the “King of ISO” Nex-5N and Nex-7 plus the Zeiss 24mm they are just unstoppable
b shaw
9 months ago |Two things –
1) I would hate for Canon and Nikon to fall, we need to competition to keep everyone on their toes.
2) “Pioneers get the arrows, settlers get the land.” Being first isn’t always the best strategy. However, Sony was wise to secure a customer base before risking it by introducing new technology and they were careful to test and refine the product concept on lower level technologies. (Which they typically do)
Matt
9 months ago |I find it interesting when people say a brand will never fall. Look when they released the iPhone, or even the 3G etc. Now I don’t care for them much so let’s not talk about the particular product here. But when it came out, everyone said it was an expensive toy, that windows mobile was a million times better because it had the features and the software. That they wouldn’t trade it for an iPhone until it was pulled from their cold dead hands. ‘professionals use blackberries’ they would say. Remember this was before android was a blip on the radar. Within a couple of years, windows mobile was dropped and had to be completely reimagined, blackberries are fading, professionals are using iPhones and Android phones all the time. Toys indeed! Now I don’t care one bit which of these you personally think is best, in fact it matters not one bit for the pointbi am making.
Professionals are stubborn and they often won’t go with something unless another professional tells them it’s good and that they are switching. It takes time. And believe it or not professionals often aren’t ‘gear whores’ they just want what is going to work for them. And often a brand will have exactly what they are looking for, but they aren’t constantly checking what gear is coming out etc, they want what works and what they know.
I know for a fact that devices like the Sony FS100 and Panasonic AF100 are starting to infiltrate the film sectors, where those who would have only looked at a Canon 5D or 7D before are going with these.
But one infiltration starts to occur and professionals start using these products, they start spreading like wildfire through the professional communities.
The mass exodus from AVID to Final Cut is another example. It can happen in less than 2 years.
Look at the pro video camera market. Our PDW700 cost more than 2 x RED Ones, but everyone wants the REDs. People stopped buying professional video cameras and started buy 5Ds and adapting them.
Trust me, Canon and Nikon can EASILY fall.
Nick T
9 months ago |Agreed. Look at Nokia and Ericsson now, they were the giants of mobile handsets 10-20 yrs ago and nobody would have expected them to be relegated to small players by a company selling computers and nice looking mouse!
acolyte
9 months ago |Yes, my first two smartphones were Nokia 7650 and Sony Ericsson P800 (yup, already Sony)
acolyte
9 months ago |Matt, I’m not sure if you realize you brought a point. That’s not just Sony against Canikon. That’s also mirrorless against SLR. We know NEX has too few lenses, and they have less lenses than 4/3rds. But can we predict how far the mirrorless market can grow?
Matt
9 months ago |The point I am making is that Canon an Nikon are stuck in their ways and professionals keep buying them because that is what they know. But things can and do change. It is as simple as that.
acolyte
9 months ago |Ah yeah I know, but you also made me think of another point which I stated above ;p
Matt
9 months ago |I think that the move to mirrorless is a big part of that, Canon/Nikon (I hate the use of the term Canikon ugh!) are way behind and I think the market may well move past them as although you will have pros using them, I don’t believe there is a ‘pro’ out there that wouldn’t like a system of cameras that all work together – this is what Sony are creating and Panasonic/Olympus to some extent as well. m43 has the advantage of a single mount, Sony are conquering this by providing GOOD legacy support for their older mount on the new mount cameras – this is very important in transitioning people to Mirrorless (although because of this not technically mirrorless). Mirrorless in 5 years, will be THE design. SLR’s will be a ‘specialty’ item, like rangefinders.
joel
9 months ago |Some of you would clearly be better off thinking less about which brand you want to ferociously support, and a little more about your technique. In the end its the image the counts, not the brand, or how many megapixels or whether it was shot through a mirrored or mirrorless camera.
Doraemon
9 months ago |Sony need to continue on their A Mount too. Don’t leave A Mount and concentrate on E Mount…
Sky_walker
9 months ago |They don’t. 3 full frame pro cameras planned for next year and you are afraid of Sony leaving the A-mount? I’m not
E-mount for Sony is just a step-up from compacts in terms of photography or a video camera bayonet, lots of people see it differently but… no wonder – they want to see their cameras bayonet expand quickly, that’s all.
Mist
9 months ago |Anyone know about the auto-focus speed of NEX-5N or NEX-7?
How close to phase detect auto focus speed? Or still far behind?
Mike
9 months ago |Funny to hear so many people who will only be taking ISO 1600 pics of theirs cats and book shelves, talk about the pro market dying from cameras like the Nex. I’d love to see you make a living on it.
pancanikonpus
9 months ago |Oh yeah, Romance of the Three Kingdoms Cao Wei (Sony)
joe dakbhar
9 months ago |Alright calm down everybody, there’s enough Sony to go around.
I agree with admin, where is the swedish raisenette waffle .. pancakes! I mean pancakes! O’FFS! Mo’ pancakes!
rUY
9 months ago |Canon has their expereince on the sensor, but not Nikon, that give Canon some kind of relative advantage. Nikon makes good glass. But so do Cosina. If you don’t like Sony-Zeiss, there still a bunch of choices that we can adapt to the NEX system. So, the competition make the situation even more interesting, Did the NEX system make people buying the Zeiss-Sony-Cosina glass or people just make use of the body of NEX to adapt with older lens?
right now, the one who really win is the one creating a short flange distance full frame with reasonable price and fast enough to make it available in the market. I don’t care who do this. but that going to be the winner.
Sky_walker
9 months ago |If it’d be as simple as “shorter flange distance wins” than Pentax Q would meet stunning success (it has almost half of E-mount flange distance). It didn’t. Simply because it doesn’t matter if you have no good accessories, body, sensor and native lenses to support system.
rUY
9 months ago |You did not read carefully right? Short Flange distance “full Frame” camera” Pentax Q is nothing to do with full frame OK?!
E
9 months ago |When will we stop talking about fullframe?
What makes us still think that there is a preferred format of the sensor, especially if a new mount is being designed?
The size can be what ever it wants, From a noise/resolution perspective I guess the larger the better.
So why stop at 24*36? As if it was some kind of holy grail.
It’s not…
One nice thing with m43 and Nikon(?) is that their designers have started from scratch, trying to design a compromise that both delivers compactness and image quality that is appreciated by their intended customers.
and perhaps projecting some years ahead, knowing that electronics will evolve more over time than glass does.
Also, way do you think that Sony have been fairly open about the a-mount FF future, but said nothing about NEX FF?
- There will not be any NEX FF.
Remeber the spec for e-mount is public for third party glass makers, surely that spec would say if there should be an opening for another (larger) sensor format.
Third, the open openess of e-mount means that there will a big lead for Sony towards any future offerings from C or N, in terms of lenses for a new mount. How does the business case look for them to try to close that gap? And can they afford to invest what is needed?
just my 2 cents …
tommyG
9 months ago |Until we can get more detail resolution than what APS-C provides when using our FF lenses.
rUY
9 months ago |If you are talking about fullframe format is not important, then, go with m43 and Nikon camp would also good for you. Sony lens are way too big and not as good quality as it should be on NEX system. To be honest, I am not planning to get any one of them. But Leica, contax or Voigtlander.
I will not require fullframe if there is a way to reduce the crop factor to 1X. I don’t require a bigger format. but I am a old lens lover. Sorry! fullframe is important to the old guys like me but not auto focus.
E
9 months ago |“Sorry! fullframe is important to the old guys like me but not auto focus.”
Why stop at 24*36 ? What is so mythical about a sensor with exactly that size? Why the obsession about a format that was on a film that everybody now happily have left behind?
If film hadn’t benn around, would exactly 24*36 been automagically been everyones holy grail?
I fully understand that larger sensors have real advantages. But I cannot understand why some ppl fighting hard for the only 24*36 format and never expresses the need for an even larger sensor! – I mean is a larger better or what?
The only reason I can see is that it is important the the numbers 24-70 on the lens must mean exactly one thing in terms of FOV.
Why not a round sensor, removing the need for vertical grips and other uneeded stuff like one movement axis on external flashes.
As to Nikon or m43, I said I appreciated their thinking outside the box, I didn’t say I liked the result
/E
NEXfive
9 months ago |Standard full frame is something like the ideal format for the most harmonising depth of field. To get the same effect you need lenses quite unrealistic with smaller sensors:
fullframe 90mm f/2.0 = APS-C 60mm f/1.4 = μ4/3 45mm f/1.0
There’s an argument this could be simply habit, but even in that case used for photography since 1913 and spread all over the world since the first Leica of 1925 this format made people feel comfortable with it’s look. I guess nothing before the plenoptic camera will change that…
rUY
9 months ago |You are absolutely right. I totally agree with you.
rUY
9 months ago |You are right if we are simply using the lens that produce for the native mount. However, NEX is not doing good on their lens. When you wanna adapt different lens to NEX or M43 or other, you will understand how important to have it to be fullframe. In fact, the doF, the crop factors are the main reason. the smaller crop factor will definitely better.
There are 2 main groups of users for the mirrorless camera, one, using it because it is handy and deliver quality photo. but the other is actually using it to adapt legacy lens to make the traditional manual lens got new life.
pancanikonpus
9 months ago |Everyone happy with nex7. also requested FF nex. if FF nex out you guy will sad with your nex7
Željko Kerum
9 months ago |http://bcnranking.jp/category/subcategory_0008.html
Eugene Stoesser
9 months ago |Sony spends all thier time marketing the A77, and yet the NEX7 is
going to out sell it.
Bet they don’t understand they are charging to much for the A77,
Canon has dropped the price of thier 7D and the Nikon d7000 is cheaper
Most of us are dissappointed that the A77 isn’t $1800 (usd) or below.
SONY cut your price by $200.00 (us) and it will sell.
b shaw
9 months ago |@Eugene
1800? I don’t understand. You can get the A77 for $1399 on Amazon. I think Sony is underpricing this, just a bit.
rUY
9 months ago |If NEX7 is not exist. A77 going to be very attractive for me, no matter price or quality.
Fiveform
8 months ago |Don’t you mean the “Rise” of Sony. Does anyone check grammar anymore?