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Speculation about upcoming Sony GM lens refreshes: Is the 100-400mm GM next?

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Since everyone is always speculating about what Sony will release next, I’ve put together a small table. With the Olympic Games coming up, the 100–400mm and the 400mm look like strong candidates for a “GM II” version. Especially the 100–400mm, which Sony promoted heavily for sports photography. Of course, an update to the 24mm would also be interesting…

Focal Length / Type GM I – Release Date GM II – Release Date Gap between I & II Time since II Release
16–35mm F2.8 GM 31 May 2017 29 Aug 2023 6y 3m 2.1y
24–70mm F2.8 GM 31 Mar 2016 27 Apr 2022 6y 1m 3.5y
70–200mm F2.8 GM OSS 7 Sep 2016 13 Oct 2021 5y 1m 4.0y
85mm F1.4 GM 3 Feb 2016 28 Aug 2024 8y 7m 1.1y
100–400mm F4.5–5.6 GM OSS 19 Apr 2017
24mm F1.4 GM 20 Sep 2018
400mm F2.8 GM OSS 27 Jun 2018
135mm F1.8 GM 26 Feb 2019
600mm F4 GM OSS 11 Jun 2019
12–24mm F2.8 GM 7 Jul 2020
35mm F1.4 GM 4 Feb 2021
50mm F1.2 GM 16 Mar 2021
14mm F1.8 GM 20 Apr 2021
50mm F1.4 GM 21 Feb 2023
300mm F2.8 GM OSS 7 Nov 2023
50–150mm F2.0 GM 26 Feb 2025

On average, GM lenses are replaced every 6.5 years. What do you hope to get next?

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