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The Photokina rumors so far: Light field camera, RX1s curved sensor, A99II, FE Zeiss, FF E-mount, A5100 and more!

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6 weeks to go until the big Photokina event and it’s time to sum up the rumors about the next Sony products. Please note that some of these rumored products may be announced a couple of months after Photokina as I heard there will be another big announcement in early 2015. Here is the list of the rumored new Sony cameras and lenses with the probability of being announced (at Photokina or later) marked in “%”. I hope sources can tell me what’s right and what’s not right on that list after reading it :)

99% 16-35mm f/4.0 FE Zeiss: Definitely coming at Photokina (full article here).
99% Sony A5100: definitely coming at Photokina (full article here).
90% Sony RX1s: with curved FF sensor and 35mm f/1.8 Zeiss. If it doesn’t come at Photokina it will be certainly be announced a couple of months later (full article here).
90% QX 30:
with 30x zoom coming at Photokina (full article here).
90% Sigma lenses: 24mm f/1.4 at Photokina and 85mm f/1.4 in 2015 (full article here).
90% Full Frame: At least one new Full Frame camera. Either a new A99II or another new FE model (or maybe both?) (full article here).
90% Sony G macro: To be announced at Photokina. Chinese source said it’s 90mm (35% chance this is correct) (full article here).
90% Zeiss FE manual: Maximum of five fast prime and manual focusing FE lenses to come (full article here).
90% Zeiss FE (autofocus) prime: To be announced at Photokina. “Chinese” source said it’s 35mm f/1.4 (30% chance this is correct). (full article here).
65% 20mm pancake: Updated version for APS-C E-mount (full article here).
65% Zeiss 135mm f/1.8: A-mount updated with SSM. 85mm A-mount update in 2015  (full article here).
50% Black and White FF: If it comes it’s likely to be a special edition RX FF camera (full article here).
50% Light field: Sony patented many different Light field sensor cameras. It may be shows as prototype at Photokina (full article here).
50% A-mount 24-105mm f/4.0: Coming along the A99II (full article here).
40% A5: Super compact and $1,000 Full Frame E-mount camera (full article here).
35% Sony medium format: Should be mirrorless and feature the 50MP Sony sensor (full article here).
30% 400mm f/4.0 A-mount: Should come at Photokina (full article here).
30% SAL 70-200 f/2.0: Great aperture but is it real? (full article here).
30% rotating semi transparent mirror: There is a patent, but don’t know if they make it (full article here).
15% NEX-7 successor: Don’t think this is coming (full article here).

Keep in mind: Some of those product may not be announced at Photokina but a couple of months later. And of course these are rumors so some of them may never become true. And because we can never be sure of what’s coming from Sony here is also a list of “impossible” rumors:

Dreams and surprises:
Low and High End A-mount FF cameras
Foveon sensor (would be surprised to see it coming now as I heard it’s scheduled for late 2015 early 2016 release)
Very High End E-mount camera (A9)

And what are you hoping to see from Sony?

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